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BarnX Daily

BarnX Daily

Feed, livestock and market intelligence for operational decisions.

Edition date

August 24, 2026

Coverage window

August 22, 2026 at 4:00 a.m. to August 24, 2026 at 4:00 a.m. PDT (America/Vancouver), with August 21 official releases included as the latest available weekend data

Last verified

August 24, 2026 at 4:00 a.m. PDT (America/Vancouver)

Today in one minute

  1. 01

    U.S. feedlots held 11.117 million cattle on August 1, up 2% year over year, but July placements fell 11% and marketings fell 7%; both monthly flows were the lowest for July since the series began in 1996.

  2. 02

    U.S. milk production increased 2.2% nationally in July, driven mainly by 199,000 more cows than a year earlier; expanding volume may keep milk prices and dairy margins under pressure even when feed costs ease.

  3. 03

    Alberta had harvested only 1.1% of major crops by August 18 versus a 6.6% five-year average. Crop ratings remain above normal, but delays and excess moisture increase the need for local quality checks.

  4. 04

    The Douglas, Arizona cattle port is scheduled to reopen today under screwworm controls, while a separate U.S. plan would temporarily expand lower-tariff ground-beef imports. Neither measure resolves the underlying shortage of feeder cattle.

  5. 05

    September corn, soybeans and soybean meal ended August 21 higher, while Class III milk fell; the split reinforces the need to manage ingredient and output prices separately.

Editor’s view

North American livestock margins are being pulled in different directions. U.S. feeder-cattle availability is tightening at the same time that milk supply is expanding, while delayed Prairie harvest progress makes local ingredient quality less predictable than broad crop ratings suggest. The practical response is not to infer one margin outlook from a single commodity price: feed demand, livestock throughput, milk revenue, border flows and delivered ingredient quality must be tracked together.

Lead development

Beef cattle and feed demandHigh

U.S. July feedlot placements and marketings fall to record lows for the month

Geography: United States, with cross-border implications for Canadian and Mexican cattle and feed markets

What changed
USDA reported 11.117 million cattle on feed in feedlots with capacity of 1,000 head or more on August 1, 2026, up 2% from a year earlier. July placements were 1.422 million head, down 11%, while marketings were 1.620 million head, down 7%. Both placements and marketings were the lowest for July since the series began in 1996.
Why it matters
The larger on-feed inventory does not mean feeder supply is abundant: fewer new placements point to a tighter pipeline later, while low marketings indicate slower turnover today.
Who may be affected
Feedlots, beef mills, cattle buyers, packers, transporters and cross-border livestock suppliers.
What to watch next
Weekly cattle imports through Douglas, placement weights, days on feed, regional processing capacity and September feedlot placements.
Evidence note
Confirmed by a primary USDA NASS report and corroborated by independent agricultural reporting; the operational interpretation is BarnX Editorial analysis.

Other developments

01Dairy production and feed demandHigh

U.S. July milk production rises as the cow herd expands

Geography: United States, with relevance to North American dairy-product and feed markets

What changed
U.S. milk production totalled 20.1 billion pounds in July, up 2.2% from July 2025. Production per cow averaged 2,075 pounds, up 3 pounds, while the national milk-cow herd reached 9.71 million head, up 199,000 from a year earlier and unchanged from June. In the 24 major states, production increased 2.3% to 19.4 billion pounds.
Why it matters
Most of the national volume increase came from more cows rather than a large productivity gain. More cows can support dairy-feed demand, but expanding milk supply can pressure producer revenue if product demand does not keep pace.
Who may be affected
Dairy farms, dairy-feed mills, nutritionists, milk processors and ingredient purchasers.
What to watch next
August cow numbers, milk per cow, Class III and IV values, culling rates and regional milk-basis changes.
Evidence note
Confirmed by a primary USDA NASS report; July values are official estimates and may be revised.
02Canadian crops, forage and ingredient qualityHigh

Alberta harvest trails normal pace despite above-average crop ratings

Geography: Alberta, Canada

What changed
Alberta reported 1.1% of major crops harvested by August 18, below the 6.6% five-year average. Dry peas were 8.6% combined, barley 1.8% and spring wheat 0.2%; oats and canola had not begun. Major crops were rated 59% good to excellent, above the 41% five-year average, but northern regions continued to report excess moisture and hay-quality concerns.
Why it matters
A favourable provincial condition rating does not guarantee timely or uniform feed-grade supply. Delayed harvest and excess moisture can change drying needs, storage risk, test weight, mycotoxin exposure and the timing of deliveries.
Who may be affected
Prairie feed mills, grain elevators, forage buyers, livestock producers and transporters.
What to watch next
Harvest weather, grain moisture, drying demand, test weight, sprouting, mycotoxin results and first-cut hay analyses from northern Alberta.
Evidence note
Confirmed by the Alberta government crop report and corroborated by agricultural reporting; field observations remain preliminary.
03Livestock trade and biosecurityHigh

Douglas cattle port reopens under phased screwworm controls

Geography: Mexico and the United States, especially Sonora and Arizona

What changed
USDA scheduled the Douglas, Arizona port to reopen to Mexican livestock on August 24. APHIS says the closest active screwworm case was about 325 miles from the port as of its latest status update and will consider Santa Teresa and Columbus only after evaluating the initial reopening. Associated Press reporting says initial flow is expected to start at 700 cattle per day and rise gradually under identification and inspection controls.
Why it matters
The reopening can begin restoring feeder-cattle supply to U.S. feedlots, but the initial volume is small relative to the historic flow and the disease risk remains active.
Who may be affected
Mexican ranchers, U.S. feedlots, border veterinarians, livestock haulers, packers and feed suppliers.
What to watch next
Actual daily crossings, inspection findings, any new cases closer to the border and APHIS decisions on New Mexico ports.
Evidence note
Reopening date and port status are confirmed by USDA APHIS; expected throughput is credible secondary reporting and may change operationally.
04Beef trade policy and livestock economicsMedium

U.S. proposes temporary lower-tariff access for 300,000 tonnes of ground beef

Geography: United States and prospective beef-exporting countries

What changed
The White House said an executive order would be issued within two weeks to expand by 300,000 metric tonnes the volume of ground beef eligible for lower U.S. tariffs for 90 days. The supplying countries and implementation details were not specified at the time of verification.
Why it matters
Additional imported beef could affect processor procurement and cattle-price expectations, but economists cited by Reuters said the proposed volume is too small to quickly resolve the structural cattle shortage.
Who may be affected
Cattle producers, feedlots, packers, beef importers, retailers and feed suppliers.
What to watch next
The executive order, country allocations, tariff-rate details, import arrivals and cattle-market response.
Evidence note
Based on a White House announcement reported by Reuters; implementation details were preliminary and no final order was available at verification.
05Oilseeds and feed ingredientsMedium

USDA confirms another 150,000-tonne new-crop soybean sale

Geography: United States and undisclosed destination, with North American meal-market relevance

What changed
Private exporters reported a sale of 150,000 metric tonnes of U.S. soybeans to unknown destinations for delivery in the 2026/27 marketing year on August 21.
Why it matters
The sale adds confirmed new-crop demand while crushers and exporters compete for beans. A single sale does not establish a durable trend or guarantee higher meal prices.
Who may be affected
Soybean crushers, meal buyers, poultry and swine integrators, exporters and grain merchants.
What to watch next
Additional daily sales, weekly export commitments, harvest pace and soybean meal basis.
Evidence note
Transaction confirmed by the USDA Foreign Agricultural Service; it is a single reported sale, not a demand forecast.

Market and ingredient watch

  • Market or ingredient

    September 2026 corn futures

    Direction or development

    Closed August 21 at US$4.8375/bushel, up US$0.05

    Operational relevance

    A firmer futures reference does not include basis, freight, quality or currency; delivered feed cost can move differently.

    Source and timestamp

    [10], August 21 close; futures delayed at least 10 minutes; verified August 24 at 4:00 a.m. PDT

  • Market or ingredient

    September 2026 soybean futures

    Direction or development

    Closed at US$12.25/bushel, up US$0.0425

    Operational relevance

    The increase coincided with another confirmed export sale, but bean and meal economics should be monitored separately.

    Source and timestamp

    [10], August 21 close; futures delayed at least 10 minutes; verified August 24 at 4:00 a.m. PDT

  • Market or ingredient

    September 2026 soybean meal futures

    Direction or development

    Closed at US$317.70/short ton, up US$2.00

    Operational relevance

    Meal strengthened more than beans on the day, reinforcing the need to price the actual protein ingredient rather than infer it from soybeans alone.

    Source and timestamp

    [10], August 21 close; futures delayed at least 10 minutes; verified August 24 at 4:00 a.m. PDT

  • Market or ingredient

    September 2026 Class III milk futures

    Direction or development

    Closed at US$16.55/cwt, down US$0.25

    Operational relevance

    The decline alongside higher July milk output points to continuing margin pressure for some dairy producers.

    Source and timestamp

    [10], August 21 close; futures delayed at least 10 minutes; verified August 24 at 4:00 a.m. PDT

Livestock and biosecurity watch

The Douglas reopening is a controlled trade resumption, not an all-clear on New World screwworm. APHIS continues to list other southern ports as closed and will evaluate the initial operation before considering further openings. Feedlots receiving imported cattle should maintain arrival inspection, animal-identification, wound monitoring, isolation and reporting protocols in coordination with veterinarians and regulatory authorities. No separate new Canadian livestock-disease restriction with a material feed implication met this edition’s verification threshold.

Mill, safety, and logistics watch

    Next to watch

    1. August 24

      USDA Crop Progress

      New corn and soybean condition ratings and harvest progress will test whether late-season crop stress is changing expected feed-grain availability. [11]

    2. August 24

      USDA Cold Storage and Chickens and Eggs

      Protein inventories, poultry production and layer numbers can refine expectations for livestock-feed demand and product margins. [11]

    3. August 25

      USDA Poultry Slaughter

      July throughput will provide a direct signal on poultry production and feed-use intensity. [11]

    4. August 26

      United States and Canadian Cattle and Hogs

      Comparable cross-border inventories will help clarify North American livestock supply and prospective feed demand. [11]

    5. August 26

      EIA Weekly Petroleum Status Report

      Ethanol production and stocks will update corn demand and potential distillers-grain supply. [12]

    Source ledger

    1. 1

      Cattle on Feed

      USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service

      https://release.nass.usda.gov/reports/cofd0826.pdf
      Published:
      August 21, 2026
      Accessed:
      August 24, 2026 at 4:00 a.m. PDT
      Type:
      Official data
    2. 2

      July cattle placements, marketings fall to historic lows

      Brownfield Ag News

      https://www.brownfieldagnews.com/news/july-cattle-placements-marketings-fall-to-historic-lows/
      Published:
      August 21, 2026
      Accessed:
      August 24, 2026 at 4:00 a.m. PDT
      Type:
      Credible secondary reporting
    3. 3

      Milk Production

      USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service

      https://release.nass.usda.gov/reports/mkpr0826.pdf
      Published:
      August 21, 2026
      Accessed:
      August 24, 2026 at 4:00 a.m. PDT
      Type:
      Official data
    4. 4

      Crop conditions as of August 18, 2026 (abbreviated report)

      Government of Alberta and Agriculture Financial Services Corporation

      https://open.alberta.ca/dataset/9af5b54d-f334-46ca-a0b1-23e560edb353/resource/ed01f618-c537-4126-80e7-1384fc9f5ce5/download/agi-tedab-alberta-crop-report-2026-08-18-abbreviated-report.pdf
      Published:
      August 21, 2026
      Accessed:
      August 24, 2026 at 4:00 a.m. PDT
      Type:
      Official data
    5. 5

      Alberta Crop Report: Development, harvest slowed amid rains

      Manitoba Co-operator / Glacier FarmMedia

      https://www.manitobacooperator.ca/daily/alberta-crop-report-development-harvest-slowed-amid-rains/
      Published:
      August 21, 2026
      Accessed:
      August 24, 2026 at 4:00 a.m. PDT
      Type:
      Credible secondary reporting
    6. 6

      Current Status of New World Screwworm

      USDA Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service

      https://www.aphis.usda.gov/animals/animal-health/livestock-and-poultry-disease/stop-screwworm/current-status
      Published:
      Updated August 20, 2026
      Accessed:
      August 24, 2026 at 4:00 a.m. PDT
      Type:
      Primary
    7. 7

      Mexican ranchers prepare to resume livestock sales to US under tight controls over screwworm risk

      Associated Press

      https://apnews.com/article/mexico-us-cattle-livestock-resume-imports-screwworm-dd58d9ec59b792c72da44bbfed92188e
      Published:
      August 22, 2026
      Accessed:
      August 24, 2026 at 4:00 a.m. PDT
      Type:
      Credible secondary reporting
    8. 8

      Trump to temporarily ease US beef tariffs, irking cattle producers

      Reuters

      https://www.reuters.com/world/us/trump-ease-ground-beef-import-quotas-90-days-2026-08-21/
      Published:
      Published August 21 and updated August 22, 2026
      Accessed:
      August 24, 2026 at 4:00 a.m. PDT
      Type:
      Credible secondary reporting
    9. 9

      Export Sales to China and Unknown Destinations

      USDA Foreign Agricultural Service

      https://www.fas.usda.gov/newsroom/export-sales-china-and-unknown-destinations-39
      Published:
      August 21, 2026
      Accessed:
      August 24, 2026 at 4:00 a.m. PDT
      Type:
      Primary
    10. 10

      Closing Grain and Livestock Futures: August 21, 2026

      Brownfield Ag News

      https://www.brownfieldagnews.com/market-news/closing-grain-and-livestock-futures-august-21-2026/
      Published:
      August 21, 2026
      Accessed:
      August 24, 2026 at 4:00 a.m. PDT
      Type:
      Credible secondary reporting
    11. 11

      Publications — Report by Date

      USDA National Agricultural Statistics Service

      https://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/Calendar/reports_by_date.php?month=08&view=l&year=2026
      Published:
      Dynamic August 2026 release calendar
      Accessed:
      August 24, 2026 at 4:00 a.m. PDT
      Type:
      Official data
    12. 12

      Weekly Petroleum Status Report

      U.S. Energy Information Administration

      https://www.eia.gov/petroleum/supply/weekly/
      Published:
      Current edition August 19; next release August 26, 2026
      Accessed:
      August 24, 2026 at 4:00 a.m. PDT
      Type:
      Official data